FI
FIRST INTERSTATE BANCSYSTEM INC (FIBK)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 diluted EPS was $0.69, flat sequentially and up 27.8% YoY; total revenue of $250.5MM (net interest income + noninterest) rose modestly QoQ; EPS beat consensus, while revenue modestly missed. The net interest margin expanded 4 bps QoQ to 3.34% .
- Credit continued to stabilize: net charge-offs fell to 0.06% annualized, non‑performing loans declined 6.1% QoQ, and ACL coverage rose to 1.30% of loans; other borrowed funds fell to zero, further de‑risking the balance sheet .
- Strategic footprint optimization advanced: AZ/Kansas branch sale closed Oct 10 (~$300MM loans, ~$645MM deposits transferred), and sale of 11 Nebraska branches announced (early 2026 close). Company executed $57.2MM in buybacks through Oct 28 under a $150MM authorization and declared a $0.47 dividend .
- Q4 2025 guidance: NII $203–$205MM, noninterest income $42–$44MM (ex‑gain), noninterest expense $155–$157MM; ending loans ~ $15.5B and deposits modestly >$22B; tax rate 23.5–24.0% for FY25; long‑term NCO guide maintained at 20–30 bps .
- Near‑term stock narrative catalysts: margin expansion, zero wholesale borrowings, capital return via buybacks, and a ~$60MM pre‑tax gain expected in Q4 from the AZ/Kansas transaction; offset by loan balance runoff and competitive pricing pressure on new production .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion continued: NIM rose to 3.34% (+4 bps QoQ, +33 bps YoY), with adjusted FTE NIM up 4 bps QoQ, driven by lower funding costs as borrowings fell to zero .
- Credit stabilization: net charge‑offs dropped to $2.3MM (0.06% annualized), non‑performing loans fell to $182.2MM (‑6.1% QoQ), and criticized loans declined by $38.9MM QoQ .
- Strategic capital deployment: $57.2MM of buybacks through Oct 28 and $0.47 dividend; management emphasized ongoing focus on organic growth, balance sheet optimization, and capital efficiency. “Our strong and flexible liquidity and capital levels provide a solid foundation to drive growth and returns for our shareholders,” said CEO Jim Reuter .
What Went Wrong
- Loan balances declined $519MM QoQ (planned runoff of indirect lending, larger paydowns/payoffs); management guided to further decline in Q4 before an anticipated sequential rebuild in 2026 .
- Competitive environment pressured new production (pricing/structure) and muted real estate demand; management remained disciplined, which constrained near‑term asset growth .
- Noninterest expense increased $2.8MM QoQ (property valuation adjustment and unamortized costs tied to subordinated note payoff), while deposit costs ticked up ahead of anticipated Fed cuts, modestly higher than prior expectations .
Financial Results
Segment/noninterest income breakdown:
Key balance sheet and capital KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Additional guidance/context from call:
- ~$60MM pre‑tax gain expected in Q4 from AZ/Kansas sale; ongoing quarterly NII headwind ~$6MM and expense reduction ~$3.5–$4MM from exiting those states .
- Management anticipates sequential margin/NII expansion through 2026, with mid‑single‑digit NII growth in 2026 under flat loans/modest deposit growth assumptions; deposit beta actions underway (CD rates reduced by 55 bps, shorter exception pricing duration) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO strategic focus: “We continue to execute on our strategic plan… focus on organic growth and leverage our strong balance sheet… Our strong and flexible liquidity and capital levels provide a solid foundation to drive growth and returns for our shareholders” .
- CFO on Q4/AZ-KS impact: “We anticipate recognizing an approximately $60 million pre‑tax gain in fourth quarter results… excluding the impact of the gain… quarterly impact on net interest income to be about $6 million. We anticipate a quarterly ongoing expense reduction… $3.5 to $4 million” .
- CFO on deposit beta actions: “We have reduced our offered CD rate by 55 basis points from the level on June 30… We have also proactively managed our exception pricing book, shortening duration… providing more immediate flexibility in managing deposit costs” .
- CEO on 2026 growth: “We’re now on the offense… given our growth communities and strong balance sheet, we’re optimistic about our growth in 2026” .
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth and pipeline: Management acknowledged slower production and competitive pricing but emphasized disciplined growth and streamlined approvals; optimistic for loan growth in 2026 with incentives aligned to targets .
- Capital deployment optionality: $150MM buyback is a start; optionality remains for additional repurchases; securities restructuring not a priority given expected cash‑flow tailwinds and TBV accretion .
- Margin/NII trajectory: Sequential NII/margin expansion expected through 2026; mid‑single‑digit NII growth in 2026 under flat loans/modest deposit growth; unsettled securities reduced reported NIM by ~2 bps in Q3 .
- Credit normalization: Largest criticized loan (~$50MM) paid off in early October; long‑term NCO guide maintained at 20–30 bps, acknowledging quarterly volatility .
- Deposit beta calibration: Actions support higher beta in 2026, with expected lag due to CDs (~10% of deposits) repricing over ~7 months .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Interpretation: EPS beat in Q2 and Q3, with a modest revenue miss each quarter. Results reflect margin expansion and funding cost improvements, offset by lower average earning asset balances and competitive dynamics on loan growth .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin expansion intact with wholesale borrowings at zero and deposit beta actions underway; expect sequential NII/margin improvement into 2026, supported by investment portfolio cash‑flows and back‑book repricing .
- Credit normalization remains a tailwind: NCOs muted, NPLs down, ACL coverage rising; largest criticized exposure resolved early Q4 .
- Near‑term loan growth muted; Q4 guided lower loan balances before expected 2026 inflection; disciplined approach to pricing/structure should protect returns and credit quality .
- Capital efficiency rising: CET1 at 13.90%; buybacks of $57.2MM executed through Oct 28, with optionality for further repurchases depending on growth and valuation .
- Q4 setup: ~$60MM pre‑tax gain from AZ/Kansas sale, NII $203–$205MM, expense $155–$157MM; watch deposit mix/price migration and CD repricing lag as cuts arrive .
- Strategic footprint optimization reduces complexity and supports core market focus (AZ/Kansas closed; NE announced); expect opex benefits and capital ratio accretion at close .
- Trading lens: The story hinges on margin trajectory, credit normalization, and capital return pace versus asset growth; catalysts include Q4 gain recognition, continued NIM expansion, and buyback execution .